ICH E9(R1) Section 2.2
The primary endpoint is the main outcome measure used to evaluate whether the treatment hypothesis is supported and forms the basis for regulatory approval decisions, while secondary endpoints provide supportive evidence and characterize additional treatment effects.
The distinction between primary and secondary endpoints reflects the hierarchy of importance in clinical trial outcomes and the statistical framework for drawing conclusions from trial data. The primary endpoint represents the outcome most relevant to the clinical question the trial is designed to answer, and success or failure of the trial is typically determined by results on this endpoint. Sample size calculations are based on the primary endpoint, and the statistical analysis plan specifies the primary analysis with full control of Type I error.
Primary endpoint selection requires careful consideration of clinical relevance, regulatory acceptance, and practical feasibility. The endpoint should reflect an outcome meaningful to patients, such as survival, symptom improvement, or prevention of disease progression. Regulatory authorities provide guidance on acceptable endpoints for specific indications, and early engagement with regulators helps ensure that chosen endpoints will support approval. Practical considerations include the frequency of events, measurement reliability, and the duration of follow-up required for assessment.
Secondary endpoints provide additional characterization of treatment effects beyond the primary endpoint, addressing questions such as effects on symptoms, quality of life, biomarkers, or alternative efficacy measures. While secondary endpoints contribute valuable information, their analysis is typically considered exploratory or supportive unless multiplicity adjustments maintain Type I error control. Results on secondary endpoints that support primary findings strengthen the evidence for treatment benefit, while discordant results may require careful interpretation. Tertiary or exploratory endpoints address hypotheses of lower priority or generate hypotheses for future investigation.
Oncology trial
"The primary endpoint was overall survival, defined as time from randomization to death from any cause, while secondary endpoints included progression-free survival, objective response rate, and quality of life as measured by validated patient-reported outcome instruments."
Multiplicity control
"The statistical analysis plan specified a hierarchical testing procedure in which the key secondary endpoint of symptom improvement would be tested at the 0.05 level only if the primary endpoint achieved statistical significance, maintaining overall Type I error control."
A range of values calculated from study data that is expected to contain the true treatment effect with a specified probability, typically 95%, providing information about both the estimated effect size and the precision of that estimate.
A statistical analysis strategy that includes all randomized participants in the groups to which they were originally assigned, regardless of whether they completed the study treatment or adhered to the protocol.
A planned statistical analysis conducted before all participants have completed the study, typically to evaluate accumulating data for evidence of efficacy, futility, or safety concerns that might warrant early termination of the trial.
The probability of obtaining results at least as extreme as those observed in the study, assuming that the null hypothesis of no treatment effect is true.
A statistical analysis that includes only participants who completed the study according to protocol requirements, without major protocol violations, adequate treatment exposure, and complete outcome assessments.
ICH E9(R1) Section 2.2
The primary endpoint is the main outcome measure used to evaluate whether the treatment hypothesis is supported and forms the basis for regulatory approval decisions, while secondary endpoints provide supportive evidence and characterize additional treatment effects.
The distinction between primary and secondary endpoints reflects the hierarchy of importance in clinical trial outcomes and the statistical framework for drawing conclusions from trial data. The primary endpoint represents the outcome most relevant to the clinical question the trial is designed to answer, and success or failure of the trial is typically determined by results on this endpoint. Sample size calculations are based on the primary endpoint, and the statistical analysis plan specifies the primary analysis with full control of Type I error.
Primary endpoint selection requires careful consideration of clinical relevance, regulatory acceptance, and practical feasibility. The endpoint should reflect an outcome meaningful to patients, such as survival, symptom improvement, or prevention of disease progression. Regulatory authorities provide guidance on acceptable endpoints for specific indications, and early engagement with regulators helps ensure that chosen endpoints will support approval. Practical considerations include the frequency of events, measurement reliability, and the duration of follow-up required for assessment.
Secondary endpoints provide additional characterization of treatment effects beyond the primary endpoint, addressing questions such as effects on symptoms, quality of life, biomarkers, or alternative efficacy measures. While secondary endpoints contribute valuable information, their analysis is typically considered exploratory or supportive unless multiplicity adjustments maintain Type I error control. Results on secondary endpoints that support primary findings strengthen the evidence for treatment benefit, while discordant results may require careful interpretation. Tertiary or exploratory endpoints address hypotheses of lower priority or generate hypotheses for future investigation.
Oncology trial
"The primary endpoint was overall survival, defined as time from randomization to death from any cause, while secondary endpoints included progression-free survival, objective response rate, and quality of life as measured by validated patient-reported outcome instruments."
Multiplicity control
"The statistical analysis plan specified a hierarchical testing procedure in which the key secondary endpoint of symptom improvement would be tested at the 0.05 level only if the primary endpoint achieved statistical significance, maintaining overall Type I error control."
A range of values calculated from study data that is expected to contain the true treatment effect with a specified probability, typically 95%, providing information about both the estimated effect size and the precision of that estimate.
A statistical analysis strategy that includes all randomized participants in the groups to which they were originally assigned, regardless of whether they completed the study treatment or adhered to the protocol.
A planned statistical analysis conducted before all participants have completed the study, typically to evaluate accumulating data for evidence of efficacy, futility, or safety concerns that might warrant early termination of the trial.
The probability of obtaining results at least as extreme as those observed in the study, assuming that the null hypothesis of no treatment effect is true.
A statistical analysis that includes only participants who completed the study according to protocol requirements, without major protocol violations, adequate treatment exposure, and complete outcome assessments.